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hawkeye last won the day on May 9 2016

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  1. hawkeye

    Ex NY Jet Mark Gastineau Is Very Ill

    1. Revisionist history. Gastineau entered the league when Jimmy Carter was president. They had no idea about CTE 40 years ago. None. The league has a responsibility to it's alumni. 2. Eliminate helmets. Seriously. It's counter-intuitive but people will get their heads out of the way if they're not wearing helmets. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap2000000299501/printable/current-former-players-suggest-doing-away-with-football-helmets
  2. Remember when Nike did the Kaepernick ad last fall and people burned their gear in protest, predicting the end of the company? Yeah. https://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/football/ct-spt-nike-record-high-colin-kaepernick-20180913-story.html Kaepernick is good for business. An inconvenient truth.
  3. hawkeye

    NFL Best Bets -- WEEK 9 (2-4-1 since Week 10)

    The agony of defeat brother.
  4. hawkeye

    NFL Best Bets -- WEEK 9 (2-4-1 since Week 10)

    Hawkeye's Sure Fire pick of the week: I'll try New England - 5 vs. Minnesota. People love to hate the Patriots so the squares bet the Vikings down from a shaded +7 opening line to +5. Actions have consequences, so now you can get the Patriots laying less than a touchdown at home in December. New England for one unit.
  5. hawkeye

    NFL Best Bets -- WEEK 9 (2-4-1 since Week 10)

    I don't cheat, but am obviously a sucker....
  6. hawkeye

    NFL Best Bets -- WEEK 9 (2-4-1 since Week 10)

    Not the NFL, but keep an eye on Ohio State getting as many as 5 points at home. This is the first time Buckeyes will be underdogs in Columbus since 2011, when they beat Russell Wilson and the Wisconsin Badgers, 33-29, as 8.5-point underdogs. The last time Ohio State was a home underdog against Michigan was back in 2004 (+5); the Buckeyes won, 37-21.
  7. hawkeye

    NFL Best Bets -- WEEK 9 (2-4-1 since Week 10)

    Friday afternoon contrarian plays* for week 11: Carolina Houston Chargers Rams *75% (or more) of the public action is on one side, implying an over-value. Rams game is particularly interesting because the line moved out but almost all the action is on KC.
  8. hawkeye

    NFL Best Bets -- WEEK 9 (2-4-1 since Week 10)

    That's a good question. People love playing favorites even though Vegas sets the line to slightly disadvantage the favorite, and, in fact, over the long haul (all games between 2003 and 2017), the favorite covered 49.9% of the time. With that in mind, it's always a good week to take the points.
  9. hawkeye

    Sam Bradford released by Cardinals

    Greedy? Dude, this is the NFL where they cast players aside like yesterday's trash bag. It's a mercenary league. Say what you want about Bradford but I don't begrudge him or any other player from squeezing every dime out of his career.
  10. hawkeye

    NFL Best Bets -- WEEK 9 (2-4-1 since Week 10)

    Interesting article about how legal sports wagering is on fire in New Jersey. http://www2.philly.com/philly/business/tourism_casinos/what-nj-explosive-sports-betting-launch-means-for-pennsylvania-fanduel-draftkings-sugarhouse-parx-20181105.html
  11. hawkeye

    NFL Best Bets -- WEEK 9 (2-4-1 since Week 10)

    Tough day for the guys who don't have a lot of tough days... http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/25181697/costly-week-9-nfl-sunday-disaster-sportsbooks
  12. hawkeye

    Sam Bradford released by Cardinals

    Sam Bradford’s cautionary tale reminds us why we must be careful and patient with Carson Wentz.
  13. hawkeye

    NFL Best Bets -- WEEK 9 (2-4-1 since Week 10)

    Hawkeye's Sure Fire Pick of the Week Atlanta +2 at Washington The season opened with the Falcons dreaming of playing a home Super Bowl game in their gleaming new stadium. That hasn't worked out too well but Atlanta still has a lot of offensive firepower. While the comeback of AP has energized the Redskins, they aren't built to come from behind. It's hail Mary time if there's any chance to save the season for the Falcons. If they get a lead early, they'll be tough to beat. Falcons and the points for one unit.
  14. hawkeye

    Odds and ends

    A thread dedicated to wagering lines and supporting data. I’ll start with this: Joe Buck said tonight that the Browns are taking more action to win the Super Bowl than the Falcons, which makes no sense. Plus I couldn’t find a futures line that even came close. Anyone?